by Joe Hoft, The Gateway Pundit:

Early ballots show a huge increase in voting in favor of Republicans. It looks like our prediction is holding up!

On June 23, 2018, we reported that the 2018 Mid-terms would be a referendum on government corruption and because of this President Trump and the Republicans would win big. This was before Democrats made up trumped up charges against a good man – Supreme Court Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

After the Kavanaugh hearings, where Judge Kavanaugh was wrongfully accused by the Democrats of being a gang rapist, the tide changed.  We made our prediction on the election and we stated that a huge red wave was coming.  Our mid-term prediction on October 2nd was that the Republicans would win big in the Senate and would keep the House.

Now there are some signs that the tide is turning red!  Early balloting shows that Democrats are a little less than their 2016 early returns which is expected.  The bigger news is that Republicans are ahead of their 2016 early ballot pace!

In a series of tweets Larry Schweikart shows that early returns are shockingly strong for Republicans.

Larry first explains that he doesn’t do polls. He uses actual numbers –

1) Just so you all understand what I do, for the one-millionth time, I don't do polls.

Yes, from time to time I will post one for those of you who do. But we're WAY past polls now because we have actual NUMBERS.

2) A poll is a sample of opinions that cost nothing to give.

— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) 17 October 2018

Larry explains that he examines ballot requests and ballot returns by party and in 2016 party ID was the single best predictor of a vote according to Pew [Research] and that party switchers in 2016 were 2 to 1 in favor of Democrats voting Republican –

6) I examine ballot REQUESTS and ballot RETURNS BY PARTY. (In 2016, party ID was the single best predictor of a vote according to Pew—very, very few party switchers, but those that were, by 2:1, went from Dem to Republican.

— Larry Schweikart (@LarrySchweikart) 18 October 2018

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