by Daisy Luther, The Organic Prepper:

People always want to know how they can tell when the SHTF is coming. The SHTF you get is not always the one you expect. A lot of SHTFs that aren’t natural disasters have something in common. It is a way you can tell that things are getting bad.

The SHTF everyone expects

We are conditioned to think that an SHTF event is going to be something flashy and surprising, in a way that it is going to be a moment in time when you can recall the day and the hour.  People think that it will make a strict and sharp cornerstone between normal everyday life, and SHTF time.

Most believe that all of us will be sure and will know that SHTF has started and that we have to go into SHTF mode or survival mode. Most expect it to be like it was for me when things became chaotic. (If you want to learn what those days were really like, click here.)

It might happen like that with some catastrophic event like EMP, a terrorist attack or whatever.

So let’s say the event goes like this timeline:

• Day 1: EMP happens


• Day 3: You realize that the system simply does not have enough power to hold society together. There’s riots, looting, absence of law and order…


• Day 7: Everyone realizes it is full-out SHTF time, and it is gonna last for a long time…

This is a very simplified example of an SHTF event, and since you are a prepper you should realize and recognize that S did hit the fan on day 1. You should start then to work in survival mode, whatever plan you have (to bug out, bug in, make preparations for it or whatever).

But it’s not always like that.

Here is another example of SHTF:

• Day 1: A law has been voted that all citizens with criminal records or problems with the law need to register their weapon.


• Day 33: You realize that “criminal records” for a citizen who owns a weapon (or wants to own a weapon) include not agreeing with official government policies on public networks. So for example, if you trash government policies on Facebook you are being tracked as a weapon owner.


• Day 67: You as a weapon owner are suddenly being restricted what kind of weapon and how much ammo you can buy for that weapon.


• Day 166: A law is voted that local authority may go into your house in any moment, to check for your weapons and ammo, and check where and why you spent that ammo (if you did).


• Day 245: After months of civil unrest and bad economic situations, great divisions in your society for whatever reason (politics, immigrants, unemployment) the government proclaims that in “the name of law and order” they are confiscating all weapons owned by private citizens.

End of story. You are disarmed.

Why this is important

Now, three things here are important.

1) This scenario above is fictional.

Do not get over-involved emotionally with your personal settings in a way that you’ll say in anger “It cannot happen here!” If you do, you are missing the point.

2) Think about it.

After you look it as a fictional, I can say that something very similar happened here in my case, and in many other cases around the world. And there are signs something similar might happen there.

3) How?

Well, if you go back and read this fictional 245 days scenario and still think “it cannot happen,” you need to realize how it can. Maybe from day one you and everybody else like you will be portrayed through the media, and bombarded with information that you and your weapon present an extreme danger to law-abiding folks. They will say that you are not a “normal part of society”, that “guns kill our kids” etc.

After months of media bombardment with that kind of disinformation, your own neighbor will look at you like you are terrorist, because your car bumper sticker “I Love Glock”.

When the time comes, you’ll simply be an outlaw, strange kind of person who is so different and scary. After all, aren’t you already  “weird” because you are a prepper?

Rights are not permanent things.

If you say “ I’ll defend my right to carry” then good luck with that. Because your right could be stripped down and taken away by the majority of people, and that opinion is being so carefully implanted in them right now by the media.

You are gonna be run over by an armored police car trashing your house, because you are defending your right to own a weapon, and the police are gonna be celebrated as heroes.

Do not underestimate public opinion and power of media in forming those opinions. It is only a matter what kind of public opinion needs to be formed.

One day, you are a freedom-loving man who defends his constitutional and God-given right. The next day you are a terrorist who does not deserve any kind of sympathy.

What is the solution?

Since you are a prepper you are probably already used to the fact that you are a minority. You probably do not easily talk about your preps or try to convince other people to prep, also.

It is similar here. Do not try too much to change other people’s opinions about gun control. It makes more sense to hide your own opinion and play by your own rules.

Regardless of how you believe it should be, the system will make it possible to take weapons from you, through their careful and smart game.

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