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One AI-Powered Simulation Predicts That The Coronavirus Will Kill Up To 52 Million People

7-2-2020 < SGT Report 13 727 words
 

by Michael Snyder, End Of The American Dream:



Could it be possible that we are right on the verge of one of the worst pandemics in human history?  For years, the experts have been warning us that one is coming.  In fact, Bill Gates has repeatedly warned that this is one of the greatest potential threats that humanity is facing.  We don’t know if this coronavirus outbreak will evolve into the sort of deadly pandemic that Gates was talking about, but without a doubt when the next great global pandemic strikes we could potentially see tens of millions of people die.  In fact, somewhere between 50 million and 100 million people died during the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918 when the population of the world was much smaller.  The following comes from Wikipedia




The 1918 influenza pandemic (January 1918 – December 1920; colloquially known as Spanish flu) was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic, the first of the two pandemics involving H1N1 influenza virus, with the second being in 2009.[1] It infected 500 million people around the world, including people on remote Pacific islands and in the Arctic. The death toll is estimated to have been 50 million, and possibly as high as 100 million (about three to five and a half percent of Earth’s population at the time), making it one of the deadliest epidemics in human history.



So it is not unimaginable that we could see another pandemic that would kill a similar number of people.


With that in mind, I would like to share with you what an AI-powered simulation created by a technology executive named James Ross has found.


According to Ross, his simulation is projecting that this coronavirus outbreak will kill up to 52 million people



An AI-powered simulation run by a technology executive says that Coronavirus could infect as many as 2.5 billion people within 45 days and kill as many as 52.9 million of them. Fortunately, however, conditions of infection and detection are changing, which in turn changes incredibly important factors that the AI isn’t aware of.


And that probably means we’re safer than we think.


Probably being the operative word.



Personally, I don’t think that the numbers will be anywhere close to that.


But the fact that his model has been right on the money day after day so far is quite alarming



The results so far have successfully predicted the following day’s publicly-released numbers within 3%, Ross says.



If this AI-powered simulation continues to accurately forecast the trajectory of this outbreak, approximately 2 million people will be dead 30 days from now, and after that the numbers really start skyrocketing.


But once again, I don’t think that we will see that sort of an exponential increase in the numbers.  There are so many factors that a computer model simply can’t anticipate, and one of them is the fact that this virus is mutating very rapidly



Novel coronavirus is already demonstrating an exceptional ability to mutate, according to Chinese scientists, which means that fighting it just got a whole lot more difficult.


In a process described as “striking,” coronavirus is able to substantially alter itself on the fly, morphing into new forms as it passes from one person to another – including within the same family of people.



These mutations could make the virus less dangerous, but it is also possible that they could make the virus even more deadly.


We will just have to wait and see what happens.


What we do know is that it has been spreading very, very easily from person to person.


In fact, Chinese officials are claiming that one man caught the virus after standing next to an infected woman for just 15 seconds


Read More @ EndOfTheAmericanDream.com





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