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Do You Solemnly Swear?
by Gary Christianson, Miles Franklin:
Stay with me on this… the purpose will become clear soon.
Assume (without laughing or crying) that our U.S. senators are honest individuals filled with integrity. Yes, I know, but stay with me…
They voted last week during the impeachment trial for President Donald Trump. They swore to uphold the following oath:
“Do you solemnly swear that in all things appertaining to the trial of the impeachment of Donald John Trump, president of the United States, now pending, you will do impartial justice according to the Constitution and laws, so help you god?”
I wasn’t there, but I assume 99 or 100 solemnly swore “Yes” to dispense impartial justice. It doesn’t matter.
To make this thought experiment simple, assume there are 50 republicans and 50 democrats in the Senate. Further assume they wear red or blue badges identifying their bias on their chests. As they say, close enough for government work…
The vote was close, nearly fifty – fifty, so assume the probability of an impartial guilty vote was one-half and the probability of a not-guilty vote was one-half.
PROBABILITY CALCULATIONS:
- A “red” vote is a vote for not guilty.
- A “blue” vote is a vote for guilty.
- What is the probability that a senator wearing a red badge will vote red?
- If the senator is impartial, and guilty or not guilty is a 50-50 proposition, then the probability is 1 in 2.
- What is the probability that a senator wearing a blue badge will vote blue? Same, 1 in 2.
- There were 100 senators and 100 votes and 100 badges. What is the probability that 100 senators will vote the same color as their badges? Voting order does not matter. The probability is 1 in 2 to the 100th power.
- What is 2 to the 100th power? About 10 to the 30th power, or a 1 followed by 30 zeros, or a million trillion trillion.
The probability that 100 honest and impartial senators would vote the same as their badge colors is vanishingly small.
How small? The age of the universe, according to scientists, is about 14 billion years. Convert that to seconds and you get about ten to the 17th seconds.
The age of the universe, expressed in seconds, is a miniscule number compared to the probability AGAINST an honest and impartial vote in the senate by 100, or even 90, senators voting the same as their badge color.
LET’S BEAT THAT CORRUPT HORSE A BIT LONGER.
The mathematics for that vote, assuming it was an honest and impartial vote, doesn’t work. Obviously, it was neither honest nor impartial.
Conclusion: It was a political vote, not “impartial justice,” as they swore to uphold in their oath. Our senators violated their constitutional oath.
BUT WE KNOW THAT. SO WHAT?
WE SHOULD NOT TRUST OR BELIEVE POLITICIANS. Swell. This is an obvious fact understood by all thinking humans.
The problem is – we are ruled by politicians. They run our lives, control our economy, devalue currencies every year, concoct stories they want us to believe, coerce the media into lying for their benefit, manipulate markets, start wars, and the list goes on.
Stay with me here. What other important lies have politicians told? A few examples:
President Nixon:
“I have directed Secretary Connally to suspend temporarily the convertibility of the American dollar …” [Not temporary, it is still suspended – since 1971.]
“The effect of this action, in other words, will be to stabilize the dollar.”[The dollar went into the tank, gold skyrocketed, and you know the history. He lied.]
President Johnson:
“Our present silver coins won’t disappear, and they won’t ever become rarities… There will be no profit in holding them out of circulation for the value of their silver content.” [Not true and he almost certainly knew he was lying.]
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