by Karl Denninger, Market Ticker:

The evidence continues to pile up related to the massive pack of lies we were sold with regard to Covid-19.

Some of the latest include the cruise ship in Antarctica, on which 81% of infections were asymptomatic.  In addition while this virus is considered “universally transmissible” and very, very contagious roughly half on board never got infected at all.

That implies that as much as half of the population may be immune due to cross-immunity with other coronaviruses which, I remind you, cause something like a third of all colds.

These two facts continue to back up what I’ve been pointing out since Diamond Princess; it was inconceivable that the pattern we saw on that boat was valid unless either there was quite-material immunity already in the population, there was a huge amount of “silent” infection taking place (asymptomatic) or both.

Either of those circumstances mean that this bug is far less dangerous than we’ve been told and sold especially absent the filth common in turd-world nations where catastrophic disease of all sorts is common.  In fact, such facts take what is alleged to be a hideous, deadly relative of SARS and turn it into something somewhat more deadly than the flu, but not all that much so.  In fact even the CDC now admits that they overstated the fatality rate of infection by a factor of 10 or more.

Am I scared of the flu?  No.  I recognize that in certain rare cases the flu may kill healthy people, and in those who are more-seriously medically compromised it is quite a bit more dangerous.  Yet I do not take special precautions during flu season.  In fact, I refuse flu shots because I’m not at particular risk and there is in fact some risk of potentiating rather than mitigating the bug from them.  If I was at higher risk I might see it the other way, but since I’m not, that’s my decision.

Then there’s the actual data itself.  Can we talk about that for a minute, because it’s rather interesting.  2018 was a “bad” flu season as I’ve noted before.  So let’s look at the first 20 weeks of this year and two others; 2019 and 2018.

What do we have here?  2018 and 2019 tracked pretty well didn’t they, even though 2018’s flu season was much worse than 2019s.  This year there have been 152,609 more deaths in the first 20 weeks of the year compared against last year, but only 36,682 additional deaths compared against 2018 and we knew the rate of all-cause death was collapsing the week following Easter.

But wait — did either of those years — 2018 or this year — actually cause deaths that wouldn’t have happened anyway?  It certainly appears by the last few week’s all-cause death numbers there may be no actual excess deaths at all; we only “pulled forward” death that was already inevitable by a month or two.

That’s a hypothesis supported by the data thus far on an unbroken basis and as the data set continues to develop the support strengthens.  We’ll see if it holds up over the remainder of the year but if it does then it will document very clearly that Covid-19 didn’t actually kill anyone, statistically-speaking, who wasn’t within a month or two of dying anyway.

Incidentally that very same pattern is true from 2018 to 2019 as well.  While 2018 was a very bad flu season with most of the mortality in 2018 (after the first of the year) in fact the first 20 weeks resulted in 115,927 more deaths than 2019 — that is, more people than Covid-19 has allegedly killed this year!

However, by the end of 2019 11,355 more people had died than in the previous year with its “very bad” flu season!  All that bad flu season did was slightly accelerate what was going to happen anyway.  Key word here folks: Slightly.

In 2018 with its very bad flu season did we close the economy and demand people wear masks in public?  Did we scream pandemic! and run chyrons on the bottom of every “news channel” about the number of people who assumed room temperature the previous day?  Did we have so-called experts telling us that we must “shelter in place” and wear face masks everywhere or apocalypse is inevitable?  Did we have mayors and governors destroy the economy, commit false arrest (a felony) through their “stay at home” orders by the millions of counts and intentionally send ill people into highly-susceptible populations who can’t consent because they’re in a nursing home?  The conditions and so-called “death rate” between 2018 and 2020, I remind you, on the scientific evidence, look to be nearly identical.

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