by Harley Schlanger, LaRouche PAC:

In the days following Russian President Putin’s National Address on April 21, which he stated was meant to send a “stern warning” to those out to destabilize Russia, Schiller Institute chairman Helga Zepp LaRouche sounded an alarm. In describing the allegations from both Belorussian and Russian intelligence agencies of the direct involvement of long-time Biden crony Michael Carpenter in a coup plot against Belarus President Lukashenko — which included a plan to assassinate Lukashenko — she said, “I find this absolutely incredible, because if this turns out to be the case, we could be closer to World War III than anybody realizes: Because this is exactly the kind of stuff which happens in the forefront of world wars.”

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She identified Carpenter as a collaborator of Biden in organizing the Maidan coup in Ukraine in 2014, serving as his National Security adviser on Russia, Ukraine and Belarus, who has ties to the ultra-nationalist Nazi wing of those who ran the coup, through his collaboration with leading fascist Andriy Parubiy. Carpenter is presently the director of the Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement at the University of Pennsylvania.

Following Putin’s warning Schiller Institute chairman Helga Zepp LaRouche sounded an alarm.

In his address, Putin described western support for the flight forward by Ukraine’s President Zelensky — for example, his March 24 declaration that Ukraine will “take back” Crimea —
and the plot for regime change in Belarus, as moving toward crossing a “red line”, which would provoke a Russia response, which he said would be “asymmetrical, swift and tough.” Unfortunately, he said, “everyone in the world seems to be used to the practice of politically motivated, illegal economic sanctions and to certain actors brutal attempts to impose their will on others by force.” The failure of western leaders to condemn such “flagrant” provocations demonstrates the danger of what Zepp LaRouche has described as “sleepwalking into war,” a reference to delusions which preceded World War I.

Putin lamented, “Nobody seemed to notice. Everyone pretends nothing is happening.” But such actions will have consequences. “Those behind provocations that threaten the core interests of our security will regret what they have done in a way they have not regretted anything for a long time.”

His warning was reiterated in an interview given by Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to Dmitry Kiselev of the Russian news agency Rossiya Segodnya on April 28. Asked if the situation today is worse than that between the two superpowers during the Cold War, Lavrov acknowledged that if provocations continue, “…we will be living in conditions of a Cold War, or even worse….In my opinion, tension did run high during the Cold War and there were numerous high-risk conflict situations, but there was also mutual respect. I believe that this is lacking now.” The deterioration of relations, he added, began under Obama, continued under Trump, and now “we can see that the Biden administration continues to go downhill.”

Some Voices Of Sanity

There have been some notable exceptions to the overall silence from the West about the danger of war coming from western actions. Former Congresswoman and presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard gave a graphic warning to a national television audience on the Tucker Carlson show on April 12. The cost of a war with Russia “would come at a cost beyond anything that we can really imagine…this war is not a game…[it] could exact a cost on every one of us that would result in excruciating death and suffering beyond comprehension — hundreds of millions dying and suffering seeing their flesh burned from their bones…it’s a cost that we will all pay.”

Tulsi Gabbard   Photo: Matt Johnson

After Putin’s speech, she tweeted, “Are we prepared to see our loved ones burn alive in a nuclear holocaust in a war with Russia over Ukraine? If not, cut out the macho saber rattling and deescalate before it’s too late.”

U.S. Naval War College analyst Lyle Goldstein also warned of the danger of crossing red lines: “Americans should ask the uncomfortable question: Why do the U.S. and its allies appear to be encroaching upon so many different Russian red lines in so many situations simultaneously? We should not be touching the red lines of the other major nuclear armed powers on a daily basis….We must learn to live amicably with Russia or risk a continuing succession of showdowns on the pattern of the Cuban missile crisis.”

Yet Escalations Against Russia Accelerates

A new flank against Russia was opened with the allegation that Russian GRU (military intelligence) operatives were behind an explosion at an ammunition depot in Vrbetice in the Czech republic, which occurred in October 2014. The apparent source of the allegation is Bellingcat, an MI6-sponsored “open-source, citizen journalist” website, which has published numerous unsubstantiated anti-Russian stories, including accusing Russia of overt military intervention in Ukraine, facilitating and then covering-up Syrian government use of chemical weapons, and deploying a chemical weapon against London-backed Russian “dissident” Alexey Navalny. Incredibly, the story on the Czech arms depot claims that the explosives were placed by the same two individuals Bellingcat named as responsible for the alleged Novichok poisoning of the Skripals in England in March 2018.

This story was immediately seized upon to spark new demands for sanctions against Russia. Tom Tugendhat, the chair of the foreign affairs select committee in the British parliament called the explosion a “direct attack on a NATO country,” while Foreign Secretary Dominc Raab said it exposes how far Russia’s intelligence services will go “to conduct dangerous and malign operations in Europe.” The fallout from these allegations has included the expulsion of Russian diplomats from Czechia, as well as from several eastern European NATO members.

Two British warships are scheduled to enter the Black Sea in the next days. The Minister of Defense said this will demonstrate “unwavering support for Ukraine’s territorial integrity,” and follows a visit to Kiev by British General Sir Stuart Peach, the chair of NATO’s Military Committee, who promised British and NATO support to defend Ukraine from “Russian aggression.”
Adding his voice to the attack, MI6 Chief Richard Moore said in an interview with Times Radio — the first ever given by a current MI6 chief — that Russia would pay a “huge price” if it invaded Ukraine. “The Russians are in absolutely no doubt of where the UK stands on this issue,” adding that they are completely in line with the Biden administration. He described Russia as “a declining power economically and demographically.”

On the British role in the attacks on Russia, Lavrov said in an April 28 interview with {Sputnik}, “I still believe that the U.K. is playing an active and very serious subversive role…they are trying to influence European Union member states’ approaches to Russia.”

Anglo American Think Tanks Mobilize For War

One measure of how committed the global oligarchy is to carry out regime change against Russia, China and other sovereign nations, can be gleaned from a quick survey of articles published by, and public events organized by leading Trans-Atlantic think tanks, with programs designed to create an “enemy image” of them, to justify provocations which could lead to war. The think tanks, funded by corporations which are part of the broadly-defined Military Industrial Complex (MIC), and trust funds of wealthy families, provide a home for former government officials, as well as a launching pad for opportunists auditioning to become a part of the shadow government.

In the next days, events are scheduled by the Atlantic Council, which includes Michael Carpenter on its board. These include “Putin’s Mediterranean Gambit”; “Putin’s Pressure Points — Navalny and Cyber Warfare”; and “The Impact of Sanctions on Russia.” Chatham House, home of the Royal Institute of International Affairs (RIIA, British intelligence), which published a paper on April 23, “Europe Must Admit Russia Is Waging War”, is sponsoring a round table On “World Order in the 21st Century”, featuring a study done by the Lloyd George Study Group on World Order, and comments by speakers from Georgetown University and the RIIA-sister organization, the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Others involved in this escalation include the neocon Jamestown Foundation, which will sponsor a workshop and webinars on “The Growing Importance of Belarus on NATO’s Eastern Flank”; and the Center for New American Strategy (CNAS), which posted a video, “NATO, China and Russia: A Balancing Act,” which features Ian Brzezinski, the son of Zbigniew Brzezinski, who promoted the British geopolitical design of the “Arc of Crisis”during the Carter administration, which introduced U.S. involvement in the “forever wars” in southwest Asia, as a strategy to break the southern republics away from the Soviet Union. CNAS’s past chairman was Victoria Nuland, who played a lead role, along with Biden, in the February 2014 coup in Ukraine. Nuland was just confirmed to the number 3 position in the Biden State Department.

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